Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000089 0.000099 0.000109 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000164
2026-02-08 0.000074 0.000087 0.000101 0.000119 0.000140 0.000163 0.000193
2026-02-15 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000118 0.000146 0.000179 0.000223
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000153 0.000196 0.000256
2026-03-01 0.000049 0.000066 0.000087 0.000117 0.000157 0.000210 0.000285
2026-03-08 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000165 0.000228 0.000322
2026-03-15 0.000041 0.000058 0.000083 0.000118 0.000171 0.000244 0.000357
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000055 0.000079 0.000117 0.000175 0.000258 0.000390
2026-03-29 0.000035 0.000053 0.000079 0.000119 0.000183 0.000278 0.000434
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000050 0.000076 0.000119 0.000188 0.000294 0.000472
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000119 0.000192 0.000308 0.000508
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000118 0.000196 0.000322 0.000546
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000043 0.000070 0.000118 0.000201 0.000338 0.000590
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000117 0.000203 0.000350 0.000627
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000039 0.000066 0.000116 0.000206 0.000365 0.000670
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000037 0.000065 0.000116 0.000211 0.000382 0.000721
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000213 0.000395 0.000763
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000116 0.000220 0.000416 0.000823
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000116 0.000225 0.000435 0.000880
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000115 0.000228 0.000449 0.000930
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000117 0.000236 0.000475 0.001006
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000117 0.000241 0.000494 0.001068
2026-07-05 0.000014 0.000029 0.000057 0.000116 0.000244 0.000511 0.001127